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Bitcoin Fed outlook – Will lower rates take BTC to $200K by December 2025?

newszabi@gmail.com by newszabi@gmail.com
May 8, 2025
in Cryptocurrency
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Bitcoin Fed outlook – Will lower rates take BTC to $200K by December 2025?
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  • Bitcoin hit $99K post-Fed price resolution, extending its restoration to 32% from April lows. 
  • A market skilled projected BTC may rally to $200K if it reclaims $100K. 

On the eighth of Could, throughout the early Asian buying and selling session, Bitcoin [BTC] jumped to $99K for the primary time since February. It prolonged its restoration from April lows to 32%. 

The rally occurred simply hours after the Federal Reserve stored rates of interest unchanged.

Backing its resolution, the Fed said the labor market was strong, however inflation was nonetheless sticky. 

“The unemployment price has stabilized at a low stage in latest months, and labor market situations stay strong. Inflation stays considerably elevated.”

What’s subsequent if BTC reclaims $100K?

Most specialists now count on extra Fed price cuts in Q3 2025, a transfer that would gas risk-on sentiment and BTC’s prolonged run. Matt Mena, Crypto Analysis Strategist at 21Shares, echoed this outlook. 

In an e-mail, Mena instructed AMBcrypto, 

“A clear break above $100,000 may set off a retest of the all-time excessive at $108,500 – and if adoption accelerates on each home and world fronts, Bitcoin may push past $200,000 by year-end.” 

Mena added that U.S.-China trade talks and rising adoption of BTC by nation-states may additional gas the asset’s worth. 

Bitcoin Fed rateBitcoin Fed rate

Supply: Bloomberg

Actually, Mena additionally famous rising traders’ desire for BTC over gold after BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) surpassed the most well-liked gold ETF in year-to-date (YTD) flows. 

Merely put, BTC may rally more durable in low-rate environments. 

That mentioned, the U.S. traders have boosted the latest restoration, as proven by the Coinbase Premium Index being pretty constructive for the previous two weeks.

Bitcoin Fed rateBitcoin Fed rate

Supply: CryptoQuant

Previously week alone, U.S. spot BTC ETFs attracted $2 billion in inflows, tipping YTD inflows to cross $5B. 

On the three-month liquidation heatmaps, BTC tapped key upside liquidity pockets at $98K and $100K, which have been subsequent in line. Additional forward, the $106K was one other liquidity zone and a possible worth magnet. 

On the decrease aspect, liquidity zones have been at $93K and $83K and will act as doubtless help ranges in case of a pullback. 

Bitcoin Fed rateBitcoin Fed rate

Supply: Coinglass

General, BTC may gain advantage from extra constructive macro updates, particularly the U.S.-China commerce talks within the quick time period.

Nonetheless, in accordance with specialists like Matt Mena, the mid-term additionally appeared constructive for the asset, particularly if Fed price cuts occur in Q3 2025. 

Subsequent: Popcat hits 4-month high: Is $0.50 next? – Analysis reveals…



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