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Home Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin’s market cycle echoes past rallies: Will history repeat in Q4?

newszabi@gmail.com by newszabi@gmail.com
September 23, 2025
in Cryptocurrency
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Bitcoin’s market cycle echoes past rallies: Will history repeat in Q4?
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Key Takeaways 

Why does Bitcoin’s MVRV Ratio matter?

BTC’s MVRV Ratio at 2.1 signifies a pre-euphoria zone, traditionally adopted by parabolic rallies and renewed market conviction.

What alerts favor Bitcoin’s bullish case?

NVT Ratio at 759, Inventory-to-Circulate spike to 426, and constructive Funding Charges collectively help Bitcoin’s subsequent potential rally.


Bitcoin’s [BTC] latest value swings have reignited discussions about its market cycle, with buyers monitoring on-chain and Derivatives alerts for readability.

The MVRV Ratio sat close to 2.1, a zone that traditionally preceded parabolic rallies. That sign pointed to a pre-euphoria stage.

Even so, short-term volatility didn’t shake accumulation conduct, as merchants stayed assured in Bitcoin’s longer-term path.

On prime of that, positioning and valuation information nonetheless backed the case for increased costs, regardless of sentiment checks in latest weeks.

Supply: CryptoQuant

Can the NVT’s surge redefine Bitcoin’s valuation?

The Community Worth to Transactions (NVT) Ratio spiked sharply to 759. That meant Bitcoin’s market worth outpaced its transaction quantity.

Traditionally, such surges have signaled investor confidence in holding BTC, as value appreciation outpaces community exercise. 

Against this, elevated NVT also can warn of overvaluation. But circulation progress instructed stability round this metric.

That shift arrange the case for stronger rallies, with sustained NVT highs typically marking renewed conviction.

Supply: Santiment

Inventory-to-Circulate leap exhibits tightening provide

Bitcoin’s Inventory-to-Circulate Ratio, which compares circulating provide towards new issuance, surged considerably to 426, pointing to tightening provide dynamics. 

Spikes on this metric sometimes precede main upward strikes, as shortage strengthens Bitcoin’s funding enchantment. 

In truth, the present trajectory echoed earlier cycles, the place rising shortage fueled accelerated rallies.

That transfer aligned with long-term holder confidence, reducing promote stress and reinforcing Bitcoin’s scarce-asset narrative.

Supply: Santiment

Funding information reveal merchants are nonetheless leaning bullish

Binance Funding Charges largely stayed constructive, confirming merchants’ tilt towards leveraged longs.

Sustained constructive charges point out market contributors are keen to pay premiums to carry leveraged longs, highlighting sturdy speculative demand. 

Nevertheless, occasional damaging dips flushed weaker palms, a reminder that corrections nonetheless pruned the market. Even so, persistent constructive funding underscored confidence in bullish continuation.

Supply: Santiment

Are these alerts paving the best way for one more rally?

Bitcoin’s NVT, Inventory-to-Circulate, and Funding Price tendencies all align to color a bullish image. 

With valuation increasing, provide tightening, and leverage demand intact, the proof favors upward continuation. 

If historical past repeats, these alerts could type the groundwork for Bitcoin’s subsequent main rally.

Earlier: Bolivia sees first Toyota purchase with USDT as crypto adoption surges
Subsequent: Changpeng Zhao’s YZi Labs ‘deepens’ Ethena bet – What it means for ENA



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