Because the world shifts from a U.S.-dominated unipolar order to a multipolar panorama led by BRICS nations, the U.S. greenback faces unprecedented strain from declining bond demand and rising debt prices. The Genius Act, passed in July 2025, indicators a daring U.S. technique to counter this by legalizing Treasury-backed stablecoins, unlocking billions in international demand for U.S. bonds.
The blockchain internet hosting these stablecoins will form the worldwide economic system for many years. Bitcoin, with its unmatched decentralization, Lightning Network privateness, and sturdy safety, emerges because the superior option to energy this digital greenback revolution, making certain low switching prices when fiat inevitably fades. This essay explores why the greenback should and can turn into digitized by way of blockchains and why Bitcoin should turn into its rails for the U.S. economic system to have a tender touchdown from the highs of being a worldwide empire.
Finish of the Unipolar World
You may need heard that the world is transitioning from a unipolar world order — the place the USA was the one superpower and will make or break markets and dominate conflicts throughout the globe — to a multipolar world, the place a union of Japanese-allied international locations can arrange regardless of U.S. international coverage. This jap alliance known as BRICS and is made up of main international locations like Brazil, Russia, China and India. The inevitable consequence of the rise of BRICS is the restructuring of geopolitics, posing a problem to the hegemony of the U.S. greenback system.
There are lots of apparently remoted knowledge factors that sign this restructuring of the world order. Take, for instance, the USA’ navy alliance with a rustic like Saudi Arabia. The U.S. is not defending the petrodollar agreement, which noticed Saudi oil bought just for {dollars} in change for navy protection of the area. The petrodollar technique was a serious supply of demand for the greenback and was thought of pivotal to the power of the U.S. economic system for the reason that ’70s, however has successfully ended in recent times — at the very least for the reason that begin of the Ukraine battle, when Saudi Arabia began accepting currencies other than the dollar for oil-related trades.
The Weakening of the U.S. Bond Market
One other vital knowledge level within the geopolitical change of the world order is the weakening of the U.S. bond market. Doubts concerning the long-term creditworthiness of the U.S. authorities are rising. Some have issues concerning the nation’s inner political instability, whereas others are skeptical that the present authorities construction can adapt to the quickly altering, high-tech world and the rise of BRICS.
Elon Musk, reportedly the richest man on the planet and arguably the simplest CEO in historical past, able to operating a number of seemingly inconceivable corporations concurrently — reminiscent of SpaceX, Tesla, The Boring Firm and X.com — is one in all these skeptics. Musk lately spent months with the Trump administration determining the best way to restructure the federal authorities and the nation’s monetary place by way of DOGE, the Division Of Authorities Effectivity, earlier than an abrupt exit from politics in Might.
Musk lately shocked the web in an All-In Summit look the place he commented on his expertise on the matter, saying, “I haven’t been to DC since Might. The federal government is principally unfixable. I applaud David (Sacks’) noble efforts… however on the finish of the day, when you take a look at our nationwide debt.. .if AI and robots don’t clear up our nationwide debt, we’re toast.”
If Elon Musk can’t get the U.S. authorities to pivot away from monetary doom, who can?
Doubts of this type are mirrored within the low demand for long-term U.S. bonds, as evidenced by the necessity for increased rates of interest to draw traders. At this time, the US30Y is at 4.75%, a 17-year excessive. Demand in long-dated auctions of U.S. bonds, just like the US30Y, has additionally trended downward with “disappointing” demand in 2025, according to Reuters.
The weakening demand for long-dated U.S. bonds has important penalties for the U.S. economic system. The U.S. Treasury has to supply increased rates of interest to entice traders, in flip rising the funds the U.S. authorities has to make on the curiosity of the nationwide debt. At this time, the U.S. curiosity funds are near one trillion dollars a year, greater than the entire military budget of the nation.
If the USA fails to seek out sufficient consumers for its future debt, it might battle to pay its rapid payments, having to rely as an alternative on the Fed to purchase that debt, which expands its steadiness sheet and the cash provide. The consequences, although complicated, would possible be inflationary on the greenback, additional harming the U.S. economic system.
How Sanctions Wounded the Bond Market
Additional weakening the U.S. bond market, in 2022, the USA manipulated the U.S.-controlled bond market rails towards Russia in response to its invasion of Ukraine. Because the Russians invaded, the U.S. froze Russian treasury reserves held abroad, which had been supposed partially to pay its nationwide debt to Western traders. In what appears to be like like an try to power Russia right into a default, the U.S. additionally reportedly started blocking all makes an attempt made by Russia to repay its personal debt to international bondholders.
A U.S. Treasury spokeswoman confirmed at the time that sure funds had been not being allowed.
“At this time is the deadline for Russia to make one other debt cost,” the spokeswoman stated.
“Starting in the present day, the U.S. Treasury is not going to allow any greenback debt funds to be constructed from Russian authorities accounts at U.S. monetary establishments. Russia should select between draining remaining beneficial greenback reserves or new income coming in, or default.”
The U.S. successfully weaponized the bond market towards Russia via a novel use of its international coverage sanctions regime. However sanctions are a double-edged sword: Since then, international demand for U.S. bonds has weakened as nations not aligned with U.S. international coverage appeared to diversify their danger. China has led this trend away from U.S. bonds, its holdings peaked in 2013 at over 1.25 trillion {dollars} and has accelerated downward for the reason that starting of the Ukraine battle, sitting in the present day at near 750 billion.
Whereas this occasion demonstrated the devastating effectiveness of sanctions, it additionally deeply wounded confidence within the bond market. Not solely was Russia blocked from paying off its money owed beneath the Biden administration sanctions, additionally harming traders as collateral injury, however the freezing of its international treasury reserves confirmed the world that when you, as a sovereign nation, go towards U.S. international coverage, all bets are off — and that features the bond market.
Following the controversial overreach of sanctions from the earlier administration, the Trump admin has backed off from sanctions as a method, since they hurt the U.S. monetary sector, and pivoted to a tariff-based strategy to international coverage. These tariffs thus far have had blended outcomes. Whereas the Trump administration boasts record revenue and infrastructure investments by the non-public sector within the nation, Japanese nations have accelerated their collaboration through the BRICS alliance.
The latest SCO summit in Tianjin, China, introduced collectively world leaders, together with Chinese language President Xi Jinping, Russian President Vladimir Putin and Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi, amongst others. Essentially the most notable information to come back out of the SCO summit was a joint pledge by India and China to be “partners not rivals,” an additional step towards the multipolar world order.
The Stablecoin Playbook
Whereas China has divested from U.S. bonds previously decade, a brand new purchaser has emerged, shortly coming into the highest echelons of energy. Tether, a monetary know-how firm born within the early days of Bitcoin and initially constructed on high of its community via the Mastercoin layer-two protocol, in the present day owns $171 billion worth of U.S. bonds, near 1 / 4 of the quantity China owns and greater than most different international locations.
Tether is the issuer of the preferred stablecoin, USDT, with a market cap of 171 billion {dollars} in worth in circulation, equal to its reported bond holdings. The corporate reported $1 billion in profits for Q1 of 2025, with a easy but sensible enterprise mannequin: purchase short-dated U.S. bonds, emit USDT tokens backed 1-for-1, and pocket the coupon curiosity funds from the U.S. authorities. With 100 staff originally of the 12 months, Tether is alleged to be one of the crucial worthwhile corporations per worker on the planet.
Circle, the issuer of USDC and the second-most well-liked stablecoin available in the market, additionally holds near $50 billion in short-dated treasuries. Stablecoins are used all around the world, notably in Latin America and creating nations, as a substitute for native fiat currencies, which endure far deeper inflation than the greenback and are sometimes hindered by capital controls.
The quantity processed by stablecoins in the present day is past a distinct segment, nerd monetary toy; it’s within the trillions of {dollars}. A 2025 Chainalysis report states, “Between June 2024 and June 2025, USDT processed over $1 trillion per 30 days, peaking at $1.14T in January 2025. USDC, in the meantime, ranged from $1.24T to $3.29T month-to-month. These volumes spotlight the continued centrality of Tether and USDC in crypto market infrastructure, particularly for cross-border funds and institutional exercise.”
Latin America, for instance, accounted for 9.1% of whole crypto worth obtained between 2023 and 2024, with year-to-year utilization progress charges of 40-100%, of which over 50% had been stablecoins, in accordance with a 2024 Latin America-focused report by Chainalysis, demonstrating the sturdy demand for different currencies within the creating world.
The U.S. wants new demand for its bonds, and that demand exists within the type of demand for the greenback, on condition that most individuals all through the world are locked into fiat currencies which can be far inferior to these of the USA. If the world transitions to a geopolitical construction that forces the greenback to compete on even phrases with all different fiat currencies, it nonetheless might proceed to be the most effective amongst them. America, for all its faults, stays a superpower, with unimaginable wealth, human capital and financial potential, notably when in comparison with many smaller international locations and their questionable pesos.
Latin America has demonstrated a deep starvation for the greenback, however there’s a provide downside as native nations resist legacy banking greenback rails. Having access to dollar-denominated accounts in lots of international locations exterior of the USA isn’t simple. Native banks are sometimes tightly regulated and serve on the behest of native governments, who even have an curiosity in defending their peso. The U.S. isn’t the one authorities that understands the worth of printing cash and defending its worth, in any case.
Stablecoins, leveraging the censorship-resistant qualities of their underlying blockchains, can present people believable deniability and privateness from their native state, a function that native banks can’t present. Consequently, the U.S., via the promotion of stablecoins, can entry international markets it has but to achieve, increasing its demand and consumer base, whereas additionally exporting greenback inflation to nations that shouldn’t have a direct affect on American politics — an extended custom within the historical past of the USD. From a strategic perspective, this sounds ideally suited for the USA, and it’s a easy extension of how the USD has labored for many years, simply on high of recent monetary know-how.
The U.S. authorities understands this chance. In accordance with Chainalysis, “The stablecoin regulatory landscape has developed considerably over the previous 12 months. Whereas the GENIUS Act in the U.S. (which legalized U.S. bond-backed stablecoins) has not but taken impact, its passage has pushed sturdy institutional curiosity.”
Why Stablecoins Ought to Journey On High of Bitcoin
One of the simplest ways to ensure Bitcoin advantages from the elevation of the creating world out of mediocre fiat currencies is to ensure the greenback makes use of Bitcoin as its rails. Each greenback stablecoin pockets needs to be a Bitcoin pockets as nicely.
Critics of the Bitcoin greenback technique will say that it goes towards Bitcoin’s libertarian roots, that Bitcoin was supposed to switch the greenback — not improve it or carry it into the twenty first century. Nevertheless, this concern is essentially U.S.-centric. It’s simple to sentence the greenback once you receives a commission in {dollars} and your financial institution accounts are denominated in USD. It’s simple to critique a 2-8% greenback inflation price (relying on the way you measure it) when that’s your native foreign money. In too many international locations exterior of the U.S., 2-8% yearly inflation can be a blessing.
A big portion of the inhabitants of the world suffers from fiat currencies far worse than the greenback, with inflation charges within the low-to-high double digits and even triple digits, which is why stablecoins have already gained huge adoption all through the third world. The creating world must get off the sinking ship first. The hope is that when they’re on a steady boat, they may begin wanting round for methods to improve to the Bitcoin yacht.
Sadly, most stablecoins are not on top of Bitcoin today, regardless of having began on Bitcoin, a technical actuality that could be a huge supply of friction and danger for customers. Nearly all of the stablecoin quantity in the present day runs on the Tron blockchain, which is a centralized community run on a handful of servers by Justin Solar, a Chinese language nationwide who may be simply focused by international states that detest the unfold of greenback stablecoins inside their borders.
Many of the blockchains on high of which stablecoins transfer in the present day are additionally completely clear. Public addresses, which function account numbers for his or her customers, are publicly trackable, typically linked by native exchanges to the consumer’s private knowledge, and simply accessible by native governments. That’s a lever international nations can use to push again on the unfold of dollar-denominated stablecoins.
Bitcoin doesn’t have these infrastructure dangers. In contrast to Ethereum, Tron, Solana, and so forth., Bitcoin is extremely decentralized, with tens of 1000’s of copies of itself all through the world and a strong peer-to-peer community used to transmit transactions in a method that may simply route round any bottlenecks or choke factors. Its proof-of-work layer gives a separation of powers that different proof-of-stake blockchains shouldn’t have. Michael Saylor, for instance, regardless of his huge stack of bitcoins, 3% of the total supply, doesn’t have a direct vote on the consensus politics of the community. The identical cannot be stated for Vitalik, and the proof-of-stake consensus politics of Ethereum, or Justin Solar and Tron.
Moreover, the Lightning Community on high of Bitcoin unlocks on the spot transaction settlement, which advantages from Bitcoin’s underlying blockchain safety. Whereas additionally offering customers important privateness, as all Lightning Community transactions are off-chain by design, and don’t go away an everlasting footprint on its public blockchain. This elementary distinction in strategy to funds grants customers privateness from these they ship cash to, in addition to from third-party observers who don’t run Lightning wallets or high-liquidity Lightning nodes. This reduces the variety of risk actors that may invade consumer privateness from anybody who looks like wanting on the blockchain, to a handful of extremely competent entrepreneurs and know-how corporations, at worst.
Customers may also run their own Lightning nodes locally and select how they connect with the community, and loads of individuals do, taking their privateness and safety into their very own fingers. None of those qualities may be seen within the blockchains that most individuals use for stablecoins in the present day.
Compliance insurance policies and even sanctions might nonetheless be utilized to greenback stablecoins, their governance anchored to Washington, with the identical analytics and smart-contract-based approaches used in the present day to cease felony use of stablecoins. There’s no elementary solution to decentralize one thing just like the greenback; in any case, it’s centralized by design. Nevertheless, if a lot of the stablecoin worth had been to be transferred over the Lightning Community as an alternative, consumer privateness may be maintained, defending customers in creating nations from organized crime and even their local governments.
Finally, what customers care about is transaction charges — the price of transferring their cash round — which is why Tron has dominated the market thus far. Nevertheless, with USDT coming on-line on high of the Lightning Community, that would quickly change. Within the Bitcoin dollar world order, the Bitcoin community would turn into the medium of change of the greenback, whereas the greenback would stay, for the foreseeable future, because the unit of account.
Can Bitcoin Survive This?
Critics of this technique are additionally involved concerning the affect the Bitcoin greenback technique might have on Bitcoin itself. They surprise if placing the heavy incentives of the greenback on high of Bitcoin can distort its underlying construction. The obvious method through which a superpower just like the U.S. authorities may need to manipulate Bitcoin is to bend it into compliance with sanctions regimes, one thing they might theoretically do on the proof-of-work layer.
Nevertheless, as mentioned earlier, the sanctions regime has arguably already peaked, giving solution to the period of tariffs, which search to manage the circulate of products relatively than the circulate of funds. This post-Trump, post-Ukraine battle shift in U.S. international coverage technique really relieves strain off Bitcoin.
https://bitcoinmagazine.com/tradition/the-birth-of-the-bitcoin-dollar
Moreover, as main Western firms, reminiscent of BlackRock, and even the U.S. authorities, proceed to undertake bitcoin as long-term investments, or, within the phrases of President Donald J. Trump, a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” they too begin to align with the longer term success and survival of the Bitcoin community. Attacking Bitcoin’s censorship resistance qualities wouldn’t solely undermine their funding within the asset however would additionally weaken the community’s skill to ship stablecoins to the creating world.
The obvious compromise that Bitcoin must make within the Bitcoin greenback world order is to surrender the unit of account dimension of cash. That is dangerous information for a lot of Bitcoiners, and rightfully so. Unit of account is the mecca of hyperbitcoinization, and plenty of of its customers dwell in that world in the present day, as they calculate their financial choices primarily based on the final word affect on the quantity of sats they maintain. Nevertheless, nothing can actually take that away from those that perceive Bitcoin as probably the most sound cash to have ever existed. In actual fact, the conviction of Bitcoin as a retailer of worth and a medium of change will probably be strengthened with this Bitcoin greenback technique.
Sadly, after 16 years of makes an attempt to make bitcoin a unit of account as ubiquitous because the greenback, some are recognizing that within the medium time period, the greenback and stablecoins will possible fulfill that use case. Bitcoin funds won’t ever go away, and bitcoiner-led corporations will proceed to rise and may proceed to simply accept bitcoin as cost to construct up their bitcoin treasuries — however stablecoins and dollar-denominated worth will possible dominate crypto commerce within the coming many years.
Nothing Stops This Prepare
Because the world continues to adapt to the rising powers within the east and the emergence of the multipolar world order, the USA will possible must make tough and pivotal choices to keep away from a long-lasting monetary disaster. The nation might, in principle, decrease its spending, pivot, and restructure with a purpose to turn into extra environment friendly and aggressive within the twenty first century. And the Trump administration is actually attempting to do exactly that, as seen by the tariff regime and different associated efforts, which try to carry again manufacturing of important industries into the USA and bolster its native expertise. Nevertheless, within the now legendary phrases of Lyn Alden, nothing stops this train.
Whereas there are a couple of miracles that maybe might clear up the USA’ monetary woes, such because the science-fiction-like automation of labor and intelligence, and even the Bitcoin greenback technique, in the end, even placing the greenback on the blockchain received’t change its destiny: to turn into a collectible for historical past buffs, a rediscovered token of an historical empire match for a museum.
The greenback’s centralized design and dependence on American politics in the end doom the greenback as a foreign money, but when we’re reasonable, its demise may not be seen for an additional 10, 50 and even 100 years. When the time does come, if historical past repeats, Bitcoin needs to be there because the rails, prepared to choose up the items and fulfill the prophecy of hyperbitcoinization.
BM Big Reads are weekly, in-depth articles on some present matter related to Bitcoin and Bitcoiners. Opinions expressed are these of the authors and don’t essentially mirror these of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Journal. If in case you have a submission you assume suits the mannequin, be at liberty to achieve out at editor[at]bitcoinmagazine.com.
